As many of you who follow my MERS charting and analysis endeavors may already know, the KSA MOH announced the addition of 113 previously unreported MERS cases (+ 92 deaths) today – bringing the worldwide, all-time total to 813. This news closely follows the recent dismissal of former deputy health minister, Dr. Ziad Memish.
Needless to say, there’s been a lot going on over the last 36 hours out of the KSA.
At the moment, we don’t have many details on the 113 new cases, and it remains unclear whether or not the MOH will be putting out a more comprehensive release anytime soon. What we do know – from the epicurve posted on the MOH website – is that many of these previously unreported cased occurred around the peak of the current outbreak (which now seems to be coming to a close):
Moreover, the 92 new deaths bring all-time KSA MERS case fatality up to 41% (283/689). Unfortunately, it’s unclear which of the newly announced cases actually died – which makes it hard to figure out whether or not the case fatality rate (CFR) during this past outbreak has been less, more, or equal to CFRs during previous time periods.
As you might recall, prior to the release of this previously unreported information, the CFR associated with this spring’s outbreak appeared to be significantly less than the CFR before March 2014:
…But now, these charts are no longer fully valid. It seems like we’re at a bit of an analytical (and charting) standstill until we have further clarification on the 113 new cases. For the time being, I’ll continue documenting MERS as best as I can… But here’s to crossing our fingers for more information!