The WHO released a DON shedding a little bit of light on the 113 previously unreported KSA MERS cases this morning. Though we still don’t have access to case-by-case data, it’s much better than nothing!
One VERY important detail – apparently, only 34 of the 113 previously unreported KSA MERS cases ended in death… But when the 113 cases were first announced a few weeks ago, 92 previously unreported deaths were announced as well. What this means is that there are 58 deaths that remain unaccounted – and that they most likely occurred in cases that were previously reported. Unfortunately, that leaves us with a really significant margin of error when it comes to assessing risk factors – such as gender – for mortality and comparing pre/post-outbreak case-fatality… And throws the simulations I posted a while back out the window. Thankfully, I’m working with David Fisman, Caitlin Rivers, Ashleigh Tuite, & Eric Lofgren on a study right now that’ll give me the opportunity to account for this new information and run some new simulations.
For the time being, I’ve created a couple of quick charts to help visualize the information provided today by the WHO. Click the thumbnails below to enlarge:
Writing an article? As long as credit is given where it’s due, feel free to use these figures as you see fit! Want something a little different? I’m happy to help! Contact me; let’s chat.