Ebola in West Africa: End-of-year projections

Just updated my end-of-year projections for Ebola in West Africa using the IDEA method. Assuming current transmission conditions, the model suggests that cumulative reported cases will double again by January 6, 2015. (In other words, >15K new cases will likely be reported in the next 6-7 weeks.) Check out a high-resolution graphic of the model fits below:

projection_all_11.20Want more? Check out my work with HealthMap for an interactive interface that allows you to visualize the impact of various control (discounting) conditions on projections by country and for the region as a whole.


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